Indonesian Coffee Exports in The Global Market and The Variables That Affect Them
Abstract
The aim of this research is to analyse the situation of Indonesian coffee exports in the short and long term and the reasons why Indonesian coffee exports are able to compete in the global market. The data used in this research is secondary data in the form of numerical data with time series data type over a period of 72 months (January 2016 - December 2021). The analytical method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM) using the dependent variable the volume of Indonesian coffee exports and the independent variables, namely coffee production, exchange rate, inflation, international coffee prices and substitute prices. The research results show that there are no variables that significantly influence Indonesian coffee export volumes in the short term. In the long term, only coffee production has a significant positive effect, and the exchange rate has a significant negative effect, while the other variables have no significant effect. There are several reasons for the demand for coffee exported from Indonesia, namely the type, taste quality, aroma and uniqueness of the coffee produced in Indonesia.
References
Akbardin, J., Parikesit, D., Riyanto, B., & Mulyono, A. T. (2020). Development of Road Freight Transportation Distribution Model Based on Vehicle Transportation Inter Zone Requirement. Transportation Research Procedia, 48(2018), 562–573. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trpro.2020.08.060
Alexander, I., & Nadapdap, H. J. (2019). Analisis Daya Saing Ekspor Biji Kopi Indonesia Di Pasar Global Tahun 2002-2017. JSEP (Journal of Social and Agricultural Economics), 12(2), 1. https://doi.org/10.19184/jsep.v12i2.11271
Atmadji, E., Astuti, E. S., & Suhardiman, Y. H. (2018). Comparison analysis of imported coffee of Malaysia from Indonesia and Vietnam. Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, 10(1), 93–98. https://doi.org/10.20885/ejem.vol10.iss1.art10
Aushaf, R., Juliprijanto, W., & Septiani, Y. (2020). Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Impor Gula di Indonesia Tahun 1989-2018. Directory Journal of Economics, 2(3), 700–716. https://doi.org/10.31002/dinamic.v2i3.1419
Berthi, Y., Pradina, A., & Adhitya, D. (2023). Effect of International CPO Prices , Substitution Goods Prices , and Exchange Rates on Crude Palm Oil ( CPO ) Export Volume in Indonesia. 21(June), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.29259/jep.v21i1.19447
Daengs, A., Istanti, E., & R Pandin, M. Y. Y. (2021). Challenges Of Exchange Rate Fluctuation And Cpo Prices In Indonesia Palm Oil Industry. IJEBD (International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Business Development), 4(3), 356–362. https://doi.org/10.29138/ijebd.v4i3.1379
Daria, M. (2018). Economic Efficiency: Definition, Analysis of Concepts. Регіональна Економіка, 36(2), 159–163. https://elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=36318097
Desnky, R., Syaparuddin, S., & Aminah, S. (2018). Ekspor kopi Indonesia dan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhinya. E-Journal Perdagangan Industri Dan Moneter, 6(1), 23–34. https://doi.org/10.22437/pim.v6i1.4656
Ermawati, Andriana, S., & Pakkawaru, I. (2021). Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Dan Harga Terhadap Volume Ekspor Crude Palm Oil (CPO) PT . LETAWA Tahun 2017-2019. Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Islam, 3(2), 183–200. https://doi.org/10.24239/jiebi.v3i2.76.183-200
Fahmi, M. A., Nurfitriani, W., Nurfauzia, F., & Yulyadin, Y. (2023). Analisis Empiris Faktor Pendorong dan Penghambat Pada Praktik Rantai Pasokan Hijau Dalam Penggantian Sedotan Plastik Di Kafe dan Restoran. Jurnal Pijar Studi Manajemen Dan Bisnis, 1(3), 475–485. https://e-journal.naureendigition.com/index.php/pmb/article/view/437
Farina, F., & Husaini, A. (2017). Pengaruh Dampak Perkembangan Tingkat Ekspor dan Impor terhadap Nilai Tukar Negara ASEAN Per Dollar Amerika Serikat. Jurnal Administrasi Bisnis, 50(6), 44–50. https://administrasibisnis.studentjournal.ub.ac.id/index.php/jab/article/view/2079
Farlian, T., & Masthura, Z. (2021). Analysis of Factors Affecting the Volume of Coffee Export in Central Aceh to The United States. Agriekonomika, 10(2), 169–172. https://doi.org/10.21107/agriekonomika.v10i2.10751
Fathany, I., & Purnomo, D. (2022). Analisis Daya Saing Ekspor Kopi Indonesia Di Pasar Internasional. Ekonomikawa : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Dan Studi Pembangunan, 22(2), 24–31. https://doi.org/10.30596/ekonomikawan.v%vi%i.10987
Fauziah, E. S., & Khoerulloh, A. K. (2020). Dengan Kurs Sebagai Variabel Intervening. Khazanah Sosial, 2(1), 15–24. https://doi.org/10.15575/ks.v1i1.15
Gading, B. S., Susyanti, J., & Saraswati, E. (2022). Analisa faktor yang berpengaruh pada volume ekspor komoditas kopi Jawa Timur. E-JRM: Elektronik Jurnal Riset Manajemen, 7(1), 48–53. https://jim.unisma.ac.id/index.php/jrm/article/view/15532
Goyal, A. (2020). A Critical Analysis of Porter’s 5 Forces Model of Competitive Advantage. Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research (JETIR), 7(7), 149–152. https://doi.org/10.1729/Journal.25126
Haryadi, & Nopriyandi, R. (2017). Analisis Ekspor Kopi Indonesia. Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika, 12(1), 192–203. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.22437/paradigma.v12i1.3929
Hussien, H. B. (2015). Determinants of Coffee Export Supply in Ethiopia : Error Correction Modeling Approach. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 6(5), 31–38. www.iiste.org
Irmawati, N. S., & Indrawati, L. R. (2022). Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Kopi Di Indonesia. Growth: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol, 1(2), 43–56. https://doi.org/10.56426/nyuli.v3i1.97
Jalata, D. H. (2021). Does Ethiopian Competitive in Export of Coffee so far and What Determines it? Evidience from Revealed Comparative Advantage and Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model. Preprints, April, 1–21. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202104.0053.v1
Kusumawardhani, Y. (2020). Kajian 14 Pillar Pada Travel and Tourism Competitiveness Index (TTCI) Sebagai Indikator Daya Saing Pariwisata Suatu Negara. Tourism Scientific Journal, 6(1), 79–95. https://doi.org/10.32659/tsj.v6i1.129
Lestari Baso, R., & Anindita, R. (2018). Analisis Daya Saing Kopi Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Dan Agribisnis, 2(1), 1–9. https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.jepa.2018.002.01.1
Maulana, A. F., Rahma, A. A., & Supriyadi, N. (2016). Penerapan Metode Error Correction Model (ECM) Pada Data Ekspor Kopi Indonesia Tahun 1980-2016. Academia.Edu. https://www.academia.edu/download/65167430/Kelompok_5_02_08_25_3SE5.pdf
Mochklas, M., Mauliddah, D. S. P., Sari, N., Sari, T. A. M., & Maretasari, R. (2023). Pengaruh Pelatihan Terhadap Motivasi Kerja Karyawan. Ekuitas: Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Keuanganci, 7(2), 305. https://doi.org/10.24034/j25485024.y2023.v7.i3.5475
Monineath, E. (2018). Analysis of Factors Affecting The Export Performance in Cambodia The ARDL Bounds Testing Approach. Journal of Management, Economics and Industrial Organization, 2(2), 35–50. https://doi.org/10.31039/jomeino.2018.2.2.3
Muhdar, M. (2018). Perekonomian Nasional Dan Internasional Dalam Kerangka Agregat Demand Dan Supply (Perspektif Teori). Al-Buhuts, 14(02), 69–89. https://doi.org/10.30603/ab.v14i02.888
Muttoharoh, V., Nurjanah, R., & Mustika, C. (2018). Daya saing dan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi ekspor kopi Arabika Indonesia di pasar internasional. E-Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan Daerah, 7(3), 127–136. https://doi.org/10.22437/pdpd.v7i3.6904
Prajanti, S. D. W., Pramono, S. E., & Adzmin, F. (2020). Factors Influencing Indonesia Coffee Exports Volume. 390(Icracos 2019), 41–45. https://doi.org/10.2991/icracos-19.2020.8
Pratita, D. G. (2022). Analisis Integrasi Harga Kopi Di Tingkat Produsen Indonesia Dengan Harga Kopi Usa. Agrilan : Jurnal Agribisnis Kepulauan, 10(1), 95. https://doi.org/10.30598/agrilan.v10i1.1486
Putri, N. H., Sarfiah, S. N., Septiani, Y., Ekonomi, F., & Tidar, U. (2018). Analisis Determinan Nilai Ekspor Kopi Indonesia Ke Amerika Serikat dengan Pendekatan ECM. Dinamic: Directory Journal of Economic, 2(4), 971–984. https://doi.org/10.31002/dinamic.v2i4.1439
Rahardjo, B., Akbar, B. M. B., Iskandar, Y., & Shalehah, A. (2020). Analysis and strategy for improving Indonesian coffee competitiveness in the international market. BISMA (Bisnis Dan Manajemen), 12(2), 154. https://doi.org/10.26740/bisma.v12n2.p154-167
Rahn, E., Liebig, T., Ghazoul, J., van Asten, P., Läderach, P., Vaast, P., Sarmiento, A., Garcia, C., & Jassogne, L. (2018). Opportunities for sustainable intensification of coffee agro-ecosystems along an altitudinal gradient on Mt. Elgon, Uganda. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 263(October 2017), 31–40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2018.04.019
Ramadhani Ashari, S., Sudarusman, E., Utomo Prasetyo, T., Tinggi Ilmu Manajemen YKPN, S., & -Indonesia, Y. (2020). Pengaruh PDRB, Nilai Tukar, dan Inflasi terhadap Nilai Ekspor DI Yogyakarta Tahun 2015-2019. Cakrawangsa Bisnis, 1(1), 9–16. https://doi.org/10.35917/cb.v1i1.121
Rustian, L. A., & Widiastuti, T. (2020). Daya Saing Usaha Mikro Kecil : Modifikasi Porter Diamond Model. Jurnal Ilmiah Aset, 22(2), 147–158. https://doi.org/10.37470/1.22.2.169
Saleh, L. (2020). Analisis Efisiensi Saluran Tataniaga Cabai di Kecamatan Onembute Kabupaten Konawe. Surya Agritama: Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Dan Peternakan, 9(1), 45–58. https://doi.org/10.37729/suryaagritama.v9i1.729
Sari, D. L., & Utomo, S. H. (2021). Analysis of Factors Affecting Indonesian Coffee Exports in 2001-2018 Using The Vector Autoregression (VAR) Approach. Journal Research of Social, Science, Economics, and Management, 1(5), 559–571. https://doi.org/10.36418/jrssem.v1i5.47
Shabri, M. I., & Saputra, P. M. A. (2023). Pengaruh Revealed Comparative Advantage, Luas Lahan, Nilai Tukar, Inflasi, dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Ekspor Kopi Di Berbagai Negara (Studi Kasus 4 Negara Di Dunia Pada Tahun 2010-2020). Contemporary Studies in Economic, Finance and Banking, 2(2), 277–286. https://doi.org/10.21776/csefb.2023.02.2.09
Sidabalok, S. (2018). Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Komoditas Teh Indonesia. Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan Sosial Humaniora, 2(2), 276–281. https://doi.org/10.32696/jp2sh.v2i2.67
Sitanini, A., Sutanto, A., & Wijayanti, I. K. E. (2020). Faktor – Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Volume Ekspor Kopi Indonesia Ke Jepang. JSEP (Journal of Social and Agricultural Economics), 13(3), 253. https://doi.org/10.19184/jsep.v13i3.18724
Sitepu, I., & Nainggolan, M. L. W. (2021). Faktor–Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Kopi Indonesia Ke Jerman. Jurnal Methodagro, 7(2), 74–83. https://doi.org/10.46880/mtg.v7i2.891
Tamirat, N., & Tadele, S. (2023). Determinants of technical Efficiency of coffee production in Jimma Zone, Southwest Ethiopia. Heliyon, 9(4), e15030. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15030
Tyas, H. P. (2022). Analisis Ekspor Indonesia Tahun 1990-2019. Transekonomika: Akuntansi, Bisnis Dan Keuangan, 2(2), 37–52. https://doi.org/10.55047/transekonomika.v2i2.114
Umar Djalo, M., Yusuf, M., Pudjowati, J., Flores, U., Bandung, S., & Bhayangkara Surabaya, U. (2023). The Impact of Foreign Debt on Export and Import Values, The Rupiah Exchange Rate, and The Inflation Rate. Jurnal Ekonomi, 12(01), 2023. http://ejournal.seaninstitute.or.id/index.php/Ekonomi
Winingsih, T. R., & Septiani, Y. (2022). Indonesian Coffee Export Analysis to Germany From 1990 to 2019. AFEBI Economic and Finance Review, 7(1), 73. https://doi.org/10.47312/aefr.v7i1.520
Wulandari, L., & Zuhri, S. (2019). Pengaruh Perdagangan Internasional Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Tahun 2007-2017. Jurnal REP (Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan), 4(2), 1–189. https://doi.org/10.31002/rep.v4i2.781
Copyright (c) 2024 Rizky Mulia Rahman, Mochamad Ridwan, Hadistyana Mutiarahmi
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
All submitted article manuscripts must go through all review stages for the journal Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam to accept and publish them. By submitting the manuscript, authors agree to the following terms:
- The authors guarantee that the article is original and has not been previously published. The article does not contain illegal statements and does not infringe upon the rights of others. The authors affirm that the article is entirely their own copyright. If there are quotations or references from other sources, authors must obtain written permission and ensure that the quotations are free from third-party rights.
- Authors retain the copyright to their work and grant the first publication rights to the Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0). This license allows others to share the work while attributing the authorship and initial publication to this journal. However, commercial use of the work is not permitted.
- Authors are permitted to make additional contractual arrangements for non-exclusive distribution of the published journal version. For example, they may submit the article to an institutional repository or publish it in a book, with acknowledgement of the initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are allowed and encouraged to post their work online before and during the submission process. This is considered to promote productive exchange and early and broader citation of published work (see the Influence of Open Access).
All articles in the Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam are licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
2.png){kind=logo}
